978 
fxus64 ktsa 151133 
afdtsa 


Area forecast discussion 
National Weather Service Tulsa OK 
633 am CDT Monday Mar 15 2010 


Aviation... 
concerning taf sites ktul/krvs/kmlc/kxna/kfyv/kfsm. 
The real low clouds have almost gone away. The exception 
is a kfyv which is near IFR. Expect those clouds to lift 
this morning as well. The left over SC should thin and 
dissipate as the day GOES on. Suppose there is some chance 
low clouds could form again tonight but did not think it 
was good enough to mention. 






&& 


Previous discussion... /issued 319 am CDT Monday Mar 15 2010/ 


Discussion... 
vigorous upper low currently moving into western Arizona will 
continue pushing southeast today into Tuesday. Low track will 
likely keep precipitation south and west of area through the 
period. High clouds however will likely begin to spread into 
region today into tonight. Low cloud deck currently over much of 
eastern Oklahoma/northwest Arkansas is expected to thin/shift 
southwest during the day with partly cloudy skies this afternoon. 


Relatively benign weather will continue for much of the work week 
with seasonable temperatures. Upper vorticity maximum forecast to move 
through the area Wednesday with a few widely scattered showers 
possible. 


Models still in good agreement with pushing cold front through the 
area late Friday afternoon into Friday night with showers / 
thunderstorms likely with frontal passage. Instability still appears limited 
due to insufficient moisture return...however could still see a 
few strong storms given the dynamics in association with system. 
Significantly colder weather expected for the weekend behind cold 
front as high pressure builds into the region Saturday and Sunday. 


&& 


Preliminary point temps/pops... 
tul 59 43 60 37 / 0 0 10 10 
fsm 64 45 63 43 / 0 0 10 10 
mlc 60 45 61 40 / 0 10 10 10 
bvo 59 42 60 36 / 0 0 10 10 
fyv 59 41 60 38 / 0 0 10 10 
byv 58 42 59 39 / 0 0 10 10 
mko 59 43 60 40 / 0 0 10 10 
Mio 60 42 57 37 / 0 0 10 10 
f10 59 43 59 40 / 0 0 10 10 
hhw 64 47 64 42 / 0 10 10 10 


&& 


Tsa watches/warnings/advisories... 
OK...none. 
Arkansas...none. 
&& 


$$ 


Short term...17 
long term....12 
aviation...17