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Area forecast discussion 
National Weather Service Goodland Kansas 
1052 PM MDT Friday Mar 19 2010 


Discussion... 
200 PM MDT Friday Mar 19 2010 


Upper trough will continue to push southeast tonight with much 
drier air moving in from the northwest. Precipitation chances will 
decrease from northwest to southeast tonight and am expecting an 
end to this event by early Saturday morning. Little in the way of 
additional accumulation...perhaps an inch. 


Despite decreasing cloudiness Saturday cold air and gusty north 
winds will remain as low pressure deepens over northeast Texas. 
Will continue to advertise low to middle 30s. Building high 
pressure...light winds and a clear sky will allow for below normal 
temperatures Saturday night with readings in the middle to upper teens. 


Looking for much warmer and above normal daytime temperatures Sunday (low 
to middle 50s) and Monday (upper 60s to low 70s) as upper ridge to 
our west moves through before flattening Tuesday as another low 
pressure system moves toward the area from the northwest. Would 
not be surprised to see mondays temperatures a bit warmer as 850 temperatures 
and the past 4 days bias supports 70 to 75 across the area. 


For the Tuesday through Friday timeframe...the above mentioned 
upper low and associated trough will move toward the Great Basin 
late Tuesday afternoon then into central/northwest New Mexico by 
00z Thursday and into the Texas Panhandle by 12z Thursday. 
Precipitation chances will increase Tuesday night where some light 
rain is possible early with a changeover to snow after midnight. 
For Wednesday and Wednesday night focused highest probability of precipitation across the 
south as the system slides east/southeast. Should have drier 
conditions Thursday and Friday as system moves out and weak 
ridging rebuilds. High temperatures Tuesday in the 60s...falling into the 
40s Wednesday and Thursday before warming back up into the 50s for 
Friday. 


07 
&& 


Aviation... 
1048 PM MDT Friday Mar 19 2010 


For the 06z tafs...snow has ended at both taf sites. Model data 
pointing to MVFR ceilings staying in place until late morning to 
early afternoon before becoming VFR. Satellite would seem to 
support that. Otherwise...north winds of 15 to 20 knots with 
periodic higher gusts will occur at both sites until early 
afternoon before decreasing. 


Buller 
&& 


Gld watches/warnings/advisories... 
Kansas...none. 
NE...none. 
Colorado...none. 
&& 


$$