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fxus65 klkn 191024 
afdlkn 


Area forecast discussion 
National Weather Service Elko Nevada 
324 am PDT Friday Mar 19 2010 


Synopsis...high pressure will bring Spring-like weather this 
weekend...with sunny days and warming temperatures. Afternoon 
highs will be in the upper 40s to middle 50s today...in the 50s on 
Saturday...and in the 60s on Sunday. A cold front Monday will cool 
temperatures off a bit early next week. 


&& 


Short term...today through Sunday. At 500mb high pressure will 
build into the forecast area today and Saturday...shifting east on 
Sunday as a trough moves onto the northern California coast. Skies 
will be mostly clear through Saturday...with increasing cirrus on 
Sunday. Afternoon temperatures will be warmest across the western 
half of the forecast area...cooling east towards the Utah state line 
due to the back door cold front that moved through extreme eastern Nevada 
and Utah last night. Winds will still be a bit breezy today...mainly 
east...and light across the forecast area Saturday and Sunday. Rea 


Long term...Sunday night through Thursday. Main focus of the long 
term is near the beginning as a storm system moves in from the 
Pacific. Latest modeling...both the GFS and ec...show this system 
a bit faster...with leading shortwave and cold front moving in 
Sunday night and Monday...and then a trailing piece of energy 
coming southward Monday night into Tuesday which helps cut off a 
closed low. Along with the faster and stronger trend in the 
leading shortwave...the trailing piece which helps develop the 
cutoff low is trending easterly...which may eventually reduce our 
precipitation chances on Tuesday. For now...made minor adjustments 
to the forecast...increasing probability of precipitation a bit across the northwest 
Sunday night...across the northeast Monday...and then keeping them 
stable or even slightly decreasing them Monday night into Tuesday 
/especially toward the western portion of the cwa/. Models still 
bring a ridge back into the region Wednesday...but energy passing 
across the north may affect the region Thursday or Friday. Rcm 


&& 


Aviation...VFR conditions at all terminals today and tonight. 
Main issue will be winds...which will likely become gusty from the 
north-northwest by midday /19z/ if not earlier...and persist 
throgh the afternoon before dying off again this evening /around 2 
or 3z/. Winds will be strongest at ktph...and weakest at kwmc. Rcm 


&& 


Lkn watches/warnings/advisories... 
none. 
&& 


$$ 


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