Picayune, Mississippi Weather Conditions

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Current Conditions

  • 69°
  • Overcast
  • Wind: ESE 4 mph
  • Humidity: 96%
  • Visibility: 10.0 miles
  • Dew Point: 68°
  • Pressure: 30.28 in. 0

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Next 12 Hours

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12  pm
3  pm
6  pm
9  pm
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64°
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Forecast data from the National Digital Forecast Database.

5 Day Forecast

  • Monday
  • Chance of Rain
  • High: 72 °
  • Low: 59 °
  • Chance of Rain
  • Tuesday
  • Chance of a Thunderstorm
  • High: 75 °
  • Low: 61 °
  • Chance of a Thunderstorm
  • Wednesday
  • Thunderstorm
  • High: 77 °
  • Low: 39 °
  • T-Storms
  • Thursday
  • Chance of Rain
  • High: 48 °
  • Low: 32 °
  • Chance of Rain
  • Friday
  • Partly Cloudy
  • High: 52 °
  • Low: 37 °
  • Partly Cloudy

Forecast for Picayune, Mississippi

Updated: 9:00 AM CST on March 02, 2015

  • Monday

    Overcast with a chance of rain. Fog early. High of 72F. Winds from the SE at 5 to 10 mph. Chance of rain 50%.

  • Monday Night

    Mostly cloudy with a chance of rain. Fog overnight. Low of 59F. Winds from the SE at 5 to 10 mph. Chance of rain 30%.

  • Tuesday

    Overcast with a chance of rain. High of 75F. Winds from the SSE at 5 to 15 mph. Chance of rain 20%.

  • Tuesday Night

    Overcast with a chance of a thunderstorm and a chance of rain. Fog overnight. Low of 61F. Winds from the SSE at 5 to 15 mph. Chance of rain 20%.

  • Wednesday

    Overcast with a chance of a thunderstorm and a chance of rain in the morning, then partly cloudy with a chance of a thunderstorm and a chance of rain. High of 77F. Winds from the SSW at 5 to 10 mph. Chance of rain 40%.

  • Wednesday Night

    Overcast with thunderstorms and a chance of rain, then a chance of rain after midnight. Fog overnight. Low of 39F. Winds from the WSW at 5 to 20 mph shifting to the North after midnight. Chance of rain 70% with rainfall amounts near 0.3 in. possible.

  • Thursday

    Overcast with a chance of rain in the morning, then mostly cloudy. High of 48F. Breezy. Winds from the NNE at 15 to 25 mph. Chance of rain 20%.

  • Thursday Night

    Mostly cloudy. Low of 32F with a windchill as low as 23F. Breezy. Winds from the NNE at 10 to 20 mph.

  • Friday

    Overcast in the morning, then partly cloudy. High of 52F. Winds from the NE at 5 to 15 mph.

  • Friday Night

    Partly cloudy. Low of 37F. Winds from the NE at 5 to 10 mph.

  • Saturday

    Clear. High of 57F. Winds from the NNE at 5 to 10 mph.

  • Saturday Night

    Clear. Low of 43F. Winds less than 5 mph.

  • Sunday

    Clear. High of 61F. Winds less than 5 mph.

  • Sunday Night

    Partly cloudy. Low of 43F. Winds from the North at 5 to 10 mph.

  • Monday

    Clear. High of 64F. Winds from the NE at 5 to 10 mph.

  • Monday Night

    Clear. Low of 48F. Winds less than 5 mph.

  • Tuesday

    Clear. High of 64F. Winds from the NE at 5 to 10 mph.

  • Tuesday Night

    Clear. Low of 48F. Winds from the NE at 5 to 10 mph.

  • Wednesday

    Clear. High of 63F. Winds from the ENE at 5 to 10 mph.

  • Wednesday Night

    Clear. Low of 48F. Winds from the NE at 5 to 10 mph.

  • Thursday

    Clear with a chance of rain. High of 63F. Winds from the ENE at 5 to 10 mph. Chance of rain 50%.

  • Thursday Night

    Clear with a chance of rain. Fog overnight. Low of 48F. Winds from the ENE at 5 to 10 mph. Chance of rain 50% with rainfall amounts near 0.3 in. possible.

Severe Weather Alert Descriptions

 Flood Warning  Statement as of 8:00 PM CST on March 1, 2015


The Flood Warning continues for
the Pearl River near Pearl River.
* From Wednesday afternoon until further notice.
* At 7:00 PM Sunday the stage was 13.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 14.0 feet.
* Forecast... rise above flood stage by Wednesday early afternoon and
continue to rise to near 14.5 feet by Friday early afternoon.
* Impact... at 14.0 feet... secondary roads to the river and throughout
Honey Island Swamp are inundated. Property in the vicinity of the
gage is flooded threatening about 20 homes along the left bank
* impact... at 13.0 feet... the east and west channels of the river will
begin to merge. Honey Island Swamp trails will be under water as
inundation of the swamp begins


Lat... Lon 3067 8976 3067 8990 3018 8964 3020 8955





800 PM CST sun Mar 1 2015

The Flood Warning continues for
the Pearl River near Bogalusa.
* Until further notice.
* At 7:00 PM Sunday the stage was 19.1 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 18.0 feet.
* Forecast... the river will continue rising to near 20.0 feet by
Tuesday evening then begin falling slowly.
* Impact... at 20.0 feet... Woodlands and crop acreage along the river
will be flooded. The Bogue Chitto wildlife management area will be
inundated with water in recreational camps and over access roads.
* Impact... at 18.5 feet... Woodlands and crop acreage along the river
will be flooded. The Bogue Chitto wildlife management area will be
inundated with water in recreational camps and over access roads.


Lat... Lon 3100 8969 3100 8979 3067 8990 3067 8976





 Public Information Statement  Statement as of 7:29 am CST on March 2, 2015


... Severe weather awareness week in Louisiana...
        ... March 1 through March 7 2015

The week of March 1 through March 7 has been designated as severe
weather awareness week in Louisiana. Late winter and
Spring months typically bring the highest frequency of severe
weather to Gulf Coast region. Severe weather awareness week is good
time to review severe weather safety plans and ensure you have a
means to receive timely warnings.

The topic today is severe thunderstorms and associated hazards and safety
information...

By definition... a thunderstorm is classified as severe if it produces
hail 1 inch in diameter or larger and/or wind gusts 58 mph or
stronger.

Downward rushing currents of air... called downdrafts... occur along
the leading edge of thunderstorms. Very strong downdrafts are often
called downbursts. Wind gusts in severe thunderstorms can reach 60
mph... and can sometimes approach 100 mph. The strong thunderstorm
wind gusts can produce a roaring sound... often mistaken for a
tornado. These strong wind gusts associated with severe
thunderstorms can damage or destroy Mobile homes... .down trees and
power lines... and damage poorly constructed buildings.

Large hail can also occur in severe thunderstorms. Hailstones are
precipitation in the form of lumps of ice that form during some
thunderstorms. Hailstones are usually round and range from pea size
to the size of a grapefruit. Hail is most devastating to crops but
can also cause heavy damage to automobiles... roofs... and aircraft.

While large hail is uncommon in south Louisiana or south
Mississippi... .it can occasionally occur.

On may 14.. 2008... large hail fell in wide swath from southern
Pointe Coupee Parish across Baton Rouge into Livingston Parish.
Considerable damage occurred to house roofs and automobiles from
both of these events. In February 2013... large hail... up to the
size of Golf balls fell across the West Bank areas of the New
Orleans area resulting in property damage.

Hailstones generally form in thunderstorms between the currents of
rising air... the updraft... and the current of air descending toward
the ground... the downdraft. Large hailstones indicate strong
updrafts in storms. The larger the hail the stronger the updraft
needed to hold it aloft in the thunderstorm. It is for this reason
that in storms that produce tornadoes... the hail often falls
directly to the northeast or east of the path of a tornado. The
strong updraft is associated with the part of the storm that can
produce a tornado.

If a severe thunderstorm approaches with the threat of damaging winds
and large... seek shelter in an interior on the lowest floor of a
well constructed building away from doors or windows. An interior
small room such as a bathroom or closet..or even a hallway away from
doors and windows is the best location.

On Wednesday morning around 915am ... the National Weather Service
will issue a test Tornado Warning message on the NOAA Weather Radio
system to allow organizations to test and review their severe
weather plans and ensure their NOAA weather radios are working
properly. The test message will be clearly worded as a test. Many
NOAA Weather Radio may not sound an audio alarm... however they will
display test on their screen signifying they successfully received
the test. If severe weather or hazardous weather is expected on
Wednesday the test message will be rescheduled to a later date.

For further information contact the New Orleans / Baton Rouge area
National Weather Service forecast office... 985-649-0357 extension 4.



Personal Weather Stations

Personal Weather Stations [Add your weather station!]

Location: Hide_A_Way Lake ~OWX, Carriere, MS

Updated: 10:26 AM CST

Temperature: 63.7 °F Dew Point: 62 °F Humidity: 95% Wind: Calm Pressure: 30.24 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Graphs

Location: Carriere, MS

Updated: 10:26 AM CST

Temperature: 64.1 °F Dew Point: 64 °F Humidity: 100% Wind: Calm Pressure: 30.20 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.01 in Graphs

Location: Pittari Lane, Carriere, MS

Updated: 10:13 AM CST

Temperature: 65.5 °F Dew Point: 63 °F Humidity: 93% Wind: Calm Pressure: 30.00 in Hourly Precipitation: - Graphs

Location: Rock Ranch Road, Carriere, MS

Updated: 10:26 AM CST

Temperature: 64.8 °F Dew Point: 62 °F Humidity: 92% Wind: Calm Pressure: 30.24 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.01 in Graphs

Location: Round Rock, Picayune, MS

Updated: 10:13 AM CST

Temperature: 65.8 °F Dew Point: 65 °F Humidity: 98% Wind: Calm Pressure: 30.07 in Hourly Precipitation: - Graphs

Location: Deer Run Gang, Picayune, MS

Updated: 10:26 AM CST

Temperature: 66.0 °F Dew Point: 64 °F Humidity: 92% Wind: SW at 2.2 mph Pressure: 30.20 in Hourly Precipitation: - Graphs

Location: APRSWXNET Picayune MS US, Talisheek, LA

Updated: 10:00 AM CST

Temperature: 62 °F Dew Point: 61 °F Humidity: 97% Wind: Calm Pressure: 30.28 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Graphs

Location: Bush, Bush, LA

Updated: 10:26 AM CST

Temperature: 63.3 °F Dew Point: 62 °F Humidity: 97% Wind: SE at 2.5 mph Pressure: 30.19 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Graphs

Location: Pearl Hickory, Pearl River, LA

Updated: 10:16 AM CST

Temperature: 67.5 °F Dew Point: 65 °F Humidity: 91% Wind: Calm Pressure: 30.04 in Hourly Precipitation: - Graphs

Location: Hickory, Pearl River, LA

Updated: 10:21 AM CST

Temperature: 67.3 °F Dew Point: 64 °F Humidity: 89% Wind: Calm Pressure: 30.12 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Graphs

Location: Pearl River Town, Pearl River, LA

Updated: 10:21 AM CST

Temperature: 65.8 °F Dew Point: 64 °F Humidity: 95% Wind: Calm Pressure: 30.10 in Hourly Precipitation: - Graphs

Location: RAWS HANCOCK MS US, Kiln, MS

Updated: 9:09 AM CST

Temperature: 61 °F Dew Point: 61 °F Humidity: 100% Wind: East at 2 mph Pressure: - Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Graphs

Location: Charwood Drive, Pearl River, LA

Updated: 10:25 AM CST

Temperature: 64.8 °F Dew Point: 65 °F Humidity: 100% Wind: North at - Pressure: 30.18 in Hourly Precipitation: - Graphs

Location: Dragonfly, Bush, LA

Updated: 10:26 AM CST

Temperature: 63.4 °F Dew Point: 62 °F Humidity: 97% Wind: SE at 1.0 mph Pressure: 30.16 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Graphs

Location: APRSWXNET Kiln MS US, Kiln, MS

Updated: 10:00 AM CST

Temperature: 63 °F Dew Point: 63 °F Humidity: 100% Wind: Calm Pressure: 30.25 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Graphs

Location: Kiln, Kiln, MS

Updated: 10:12 AM CST

Temperature: 65.1 °F Dew Point: 63 °F Humidity: 94% Wind: Calm Pressure: 30.02 in Hourly Precipitation: - Graphs

Location: Brookwood Estate, Slidell, LA

Updated: 10:12 AM CST

Temperature: 68.7 °F Dew Point: 67 °F Humidity: 95% Wind: ESE at 2.7 mph Pressure: 30.04 in Hourly Precipitation: - Graphs

Location: Breckenridge, Slidell, LA

Updated: 10:26 AM CST

Temperature: 65.3 °F Dew Point: 65 °F Humidity: 98% Wind: Calm Pressure: 30.35 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Graphs

Location: Slidell, LA

Updated: 10:26 AM CST

Temperature: 68.3 °F Dew Point: 68 °F Humidity: 98% Wind: SE at 1.0 mph Pressure: 30.27 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Graphs

Location: Michigan Ave. The Roy's, Slidell, LA

Updated: 10:26 AM CST

Temperature: 67.6 °F Dew Point: 67 °F Humidity: 98% Wind: Calm Pressure: 30.25 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Graphs

Location: Timber Ridge, Slidell, LA

Updated: 10:26 AM CST

Temperature: 68.4 °F Dew Point: 65 °F Humidity: 90% Wind: Calm Pressure: 30.27 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Graphs

Location: Diamondhead, Diamondhead, MS

Updated: 9:41 AM CST

Temperature: 63.7 °F Dew Point: 63 °F Humidity: 99% Wind: Calm Pressure: 30.20 in Hourly Precipitation: - Graphs

Location: Diamondhead, Diamondhead, MS

Updated: 9:41 AM CST

Temperature: 63.7 °F Dew Point: 63 °F Humidity: 97% Wind: Calm Pressure: 28.29 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Graphs

Location: Daney Street, Slidell, LA

Updated: 10:25 AM CST

Temperature: 67.5 °F Dew Point: 56 °F Humidity: 65% Wind: North at - Pressure: 30.34 in Hourly Precipitation: - Graphs

Location: Highland Acres Subd., Pass Christian, MS

Updated: 10:26 AM CST

Temperature: 65.8 °F Dew Point: 64 °F Humidity: 92% Wind: Calm Pressure: 30.04 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Graphs

Location: Circle O Acres, Slidell, LA

Updated: 10:25 AM CST

Temperature: 68.1 °F Dew Point: 66 °F Humidity: 94% Wind: Calm Pressure: 30.26 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Graphs

Location: Bayou Liberty, Slidell, LA

Updated: 10:22 AM CST

Temperature: 68.5 °F Dew Point: 67 °F Humidity: 94% Wind: Calm Pressure: 30.28 in Hourly Precipitation: - Graphs

Location: Oak Mill, Lacombe, LA

Updated: 10:26 AM CST

Temperature: 68.2 °F Dew Point: 68 °F Humidity: 99% Wind: Calm Pressure: 30.26 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Graphs

Location: Diamondhead, Diamondhead, MS

Updated: 10:13 AM CST

Temperature: 63.9 °F Dew Point: 62 °F Humidity: 94% Wind: Calm Pressure: 30.03 in Hourly Precipitation: - Graphs

Location: Diamondhead East, Diamondhead, MS

Updated: 10:22 AM CST

Temperature: 63.9 °F Dew Point: 64 °F Humidity: 100% Wind: East at 1.0 mph Pressure: 30.29 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Graphs

Location: APRSWXNET Diamondhead MS US, Diamondhead, MS

Updated: 9:52 AM CST

Temperature: 62 °F Dew Point: 62 °F Humidity: 100% Wind: ESE at 2 mph Pressure: 30.29 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Graphs

Location: RAWS BIG BRANCH NWR LA US, Lacombe, LA

Updated: 9:47 AM CST

Temperature: 69 °F Dew Point: 67 °F Humidity: 94% Wind: SSE at 3 mph Pressure: - Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Graphs

Location: Shoreline Park, Bay St. Louis, MS

Updated: 10:26 AM CST

Temperature: 63.7 °F Dew Point: - Humidity: - Wind: Calm Pressure: 30.30 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Graphs

Location: Covington / Abita Springs, Covington, LA

Updated: 10:26 AM CST

Temperature: 66.4 °F Dew Point: 66 °F Humidity: 97% Wind: East at 1.1 mph Pressure: 30.35 in Hourly Precipitation: 0.00 in Graphs

Location: Mandeville, Mandeville, LA

Updated: 10:12 AM CST

Temperature: 67.2 °F Dew Point: 67 °F Humidity: 98% Wind: Calm Pressure: 30.26 in Hourly Precipitation: - Graphs

Location: Covington, Covington, LA

Updated: 10:14 AM CST

Temperature: 66.4 °F Dew Point: 66 °F Humidity: 99% Wind: Calm Pressure: 30.07 in Hourly Precipitation: - Graphs

MSN Maps of:

Temp: Dew Point: Humidity Wind Pressure Hr Precip -

NWS Forecaster Discussion




Area forecast discussion 
National Weather Service New Orleans la 
746 am CST Monday Mar 2 2015 


..sounding discussion... 
There is a lot of moisture in the sounding this morning as the 
profile is mostly saturated from the surface to 530 mb. Precipitable 
water is 1.88 inches... which is the new record for today as depicted 
in the Storm Prediction Center threaded sounding climatology for lix. This represents 
the foggy conditions in the area and overnight downpours well. Southeast 
winds at the surface have brought in Gulf air and the maritime airmass 
with a 7 f temperature inversion to 015 feet. Winds become westerly 
above the inversion with a 90 knots peak wind at 170 mb. 


Krautmann 


&& 


Previous discussion... /issued 417 am CST Monday Mar 2 2015/ 


Short term... 
weak frontal zone that is in the process of becoming stationary 
has provided a synoptic scale focus for moisture convergence over 
the area tonight. Meanwhile...an inverted trough axis associated 
with baroclinic warm frontal zone in the west Gulf was migrating 
northward...enriching the moisture over the area. This has 
resulted in 1 to 4 inches in a few locations so far with heavy 
rainfall still ongoing from roughly Pearl River to Pointe a la 
Hache...moving into coastal Mississippi this morning. East-west 
orientation may result in some short-term echo training before 
easing as warm front moves farther inland. The European model (ecmwf) seems to have 
the better handle on the current situation. Deep fetched maritime 
air to become established across the Gulf states Tuesday and 
Wednesday for warm and muggy conditions and a chance of rain each 
day...along with some considerations for sea fog during the night 
and morning hours. Went on the cooler side of guidance 
temperatures in deference to cold marine air return...but still on 
the warm side of normal through Wednesday. 


Long term... 
things get really interesting Wednesday night and Thursday 
morning. Strong Arctic cold front advances through the plains 
states over established snow pack to bring a drastic drop in 
temperatures with its passage. Model guidance is showing 
temperatures in the middle to upper 70s Wednesday that fall around 
40f by Wednesday night. There a several points of strong 
consideration with this scenario. Overall pattern maintains 
southwest flow aloft the entire time while the dense cold air 
undercuts. This will provide strong isentropic lift along with 
other Omega forcing for widespread and persistent rainfall during 
the temperature transition. Past several similar situations in the 
model domains have started out exceptionally cold days out only to 
trend warmer closer to actual event. This appears to be no 
exception. Finally...thicknesses never fall below 552dm in SW 
Mississippi...which suggests temperatures should remain above 
freezing in the lower levels to preclude a winter weather 
situation this far south. Will concede that this is a close 
call...but past trends work in favor of holding off on winter 
precipitation within the County Warning Area borders...though neighboring offices 
are prudently taking these conditions just up to our jurisdiction. 
There will be sufficient time for adjustments but current thinking 
is that the coldest air will hold off until after precipitation 
ends Thursday. Cold air moderates rather quickly heading into the 
weekend. Models diverge on solutions for next weekend as GFS 
remains relatively dry while European model (ecmwf) develops a mechanical low 
pressure trough in the west Gulf to focus moisture return along 
the north Gulf next Saturday. Have trended closer to European model (ecmwf) for 
next weekend time frame. 24/rr 


Aviation... 
ceilings ranging around 500 feet will keep IFR restrictions in place 
at all of the terminals through around 14-15z this morning. 
Ceilings should slowly improve to around 1000 to 1500 feet after 
15z...and remain at these levels through 00z. The stratus deck will 
then start to build back down to around 500 feet after 00z...and 
visibilities will fall back to around one mile by 03z. As a 
result...prevailing IFR conditions are expected at all of the 
terminals from 03z through 12z tomorrow. 32 


Marine... 
weak onshore flow with warm frontal zone along the coast to move 
inland during the day. Onshore flow becomes deeper and longer- 
fetched through Wednesday to develop a decent ground swell in the 
Gulf waters through mid-week. Strong cold frontal passage Thursday 
will likely bring a period of gales or at least high end Small 
Craft Advisory conditions Thursday. Winds should relax while 
remaining offshore oriented next weekend. 24/rr 


Decision support... 
dss code...blue. 
Deployed...none. 
Activation...none. 
Activities...slurry support 


Decision support services (dss) code legend 
green = no weather impacts that require action 
blue = long fused watch/warning/advisory in effect or high 
visibility event 
yellow = heightened impacts with short fused 
watch/warning/advisory issuances; radar support 
Orange = high impacts - slight to moderate risk severe; nearby 
tropical events; hazmat or other large episodes 
red = full engagement for moderate to high risk severe 
and/or direct tropical threats; events of National 
significance. 


&& 


Preliminary point temps/pops... 
mcb 67 60 74 65 / 60 30 30 30 
btr 72 61 76 65 / 60 30 30 30 
asd 72 61 75 63 / 50 30 20 20 
msy 70 62 75 65 / 50 30 20 20 
gpt 69 59 72 62 / 40 30 20 20 
pql 66 58 73 62 / 50 30 10 20 


&& 


Lix watches/warnings/advisories... 
la...dense fog advisory until 9 am Monday for the following zones: 
Assumption...lower Jefferson...lower Lafourche...lower 
Plaquemines...lower St. Bernard...lower 
Terrebonne...Orleans...southern Tangipahoa...St. 
Charles...St. James...St. John The Baptist...St. 
Tammany...upper Jefferson...upper Lafourche...upper 
Plaquemines...upper St. Bernard...and upper Terrebonne. 


GM...dense fog advisory until 9 am Monday for the following zones: 
Breton Sound...Chandeleur Sound...coastal waters from 
Boothville la to the Southwest Pass of the Mississippi 
River out 20 nm...coastal waters from Port Fourchon to 
lower Atchafalaya River out 20 nm...coastal waters from the 
Southwest Pass of the Mississippi River to Port Fourchon 
out 20 nm...Lake Borgne...Lake Pontchartrain and Lake 
Maurepas...and Mississippi Sound. 


MS...dense fog advisory until 9 am Monday for the following zones: 
Hancock...Harrison...and Jackson. 


GM...dense fog advisory until 9 am Monday for the following zones: 
Breton Sound...Chandeleur Sound...coastal waters from 
Boothville la to the Southwest Pass of the Mississippi 
River out 20 nm...coastal waters from Port Fourchon to 
lower Atchafalaya River out 20 nm...coastal waters from the 
Southwest Pass of the Mississippi River to Port Fourchon 
out 20 nm...Lake Borgne...Lake Pontchartrain and Lake 
Maurepas...and Mississippi Sound. 


&& 


$$ 



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