Tropical Weather Outlook
Statement as of 8:00 PM EDT on July 29, 2015

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of mexico:

A tropical wave accompanied by a broad area of low pressure
continues to produce showers and thunderstorms a couple of hundred
miles south of the Cape Verde Islands.  Some slow development of
this system is possible while it moves westward near 15 mph during
the next several days.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent
* formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent

Satellite imagery and surface observations indicate that a low
pressure area, accompanied by disorganized thunderstorm activity,
has formed a couple of hundred miles east of the coast of northern
Florida.  Additional development during the next couple of days, if
any, should be slow to occur due to strong upper-level winds.  The
low is expected to move slowly northeastward during that time and
merge with a frontal system by the weekend.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent
* formation chance through 5 days...low...10 percent

$$
forecaster Beven








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